During the Obama, Administration Republicans failed to confirm 69 of his picks because the candidates did not affirm conservative legal principles. Republicans have confirmed 194 of Trump’s judicial appointments, including three found unqualified by the American Bar Association. Most importantly, Republicans refused to consider Obama’s pick for the Supreme Court, Merrick Garland. Their justification for ignoring their duty to consider a Supreme Court nomination occurred within a year of a Presidential election. They claimed consideration of the Garland nomination was too close to a Presidential election. Donald Trump’s confirmation of two Supreme Court justices, and likely confirmation of a third, will tilt the Court to the far right for at least a generation.
Now, Trump and his Senate majority are rushing to confirm Barrett to the vacancy following the death of Ruth Bader Ginsburg. Barrett’s nomination, and probable confirmation, is occurring in the middle of a Presidential election. To counter Republican further tilting the federal judiciary toward conservatism, some Democrats suggest reforming the judiciary. Specifically, many Democrats indicate that Congress should increase the number of Supreme Court justices from 9 to 11 to offset Trump’s two illegitimate Court appointments. Other Democrats raise two counterarguments against increasing the number of justices.
In 1789, when Congress established the Court, there were six Justices. White adult males in the U.S. numbered about 800,000. White women, slaves, and freed nonwhites did not typically bring cases to the Supreme Court. With nine justices, over 330 million people, the Court hears between 100 and 150 cases out of 7,000 appeals per year. In the rest of the OECD countries, the number of justices on high courts is correlated with the population. In addition to its size, the U.S. population is strikingly diverse. Besides having a high court able to serve a large population, the court’s legitimacy would be strengthened if it represented the diversity of the population it serves.
If Congress increased the number of justices, the Court would follow the practice of other federal courts and use a panel of justices randomly selected from the total number of justices. The Court could hear a more significant proportion of its 7000 petitioners – instead of the small proportion of 100-150. Also, increasing the number of justices on the Court would help people see the Court as equitable. Replacing one-ninth of the Court inevitably creates a political upheaval. If Congress increased the size of the Court, the importance of anyone justice would be reduced. Moreover, if the panel hearing a particular case were randomly selected, then the political orientation of any Justice would be of less importance than it currently is.
If Congress increased the number of justices on the Supreme Court in a prudent manner, it would alleviate the sense that the Court favors either one side or the other. Of course, because the Court is a political institution, like the rest of the government, such charges can never be eliminated. But, as it now stands, decisions against a Democratic Administration because the expected make-up of the Court has six conservative justices will be suspiciously viewed. Such suspicions will undermine the legitimacy of the Court and thus render it ineffective. Simply adding one or two more Justices with also be viewed with distrust by conservatives.
It is essential to introduce expanding the size of the Supreme Court in the context of federal judicial reform. Congress should increase the size of the Court from nine to eighteen to twenty-seven. Later, as circumstances change, Congress could increase the size of the Court to 60, 70, or more. Also, as part of the same legislative package, Congress could increase the size of the entire federal judiciary to facilitate the use of random panels of judges.
The Supreme Court is a political body and always will remain so under the Constitution. But the Court does not have to favor one side or the other. Trying to select justices who will be impartial was always folly and made even more so with a small number of justices. Increasing the representation on the Court but randomly selecting the justices assigned to a given case will not make the process entirely fair, but at least it will provide both sides with a chance. And in so doing, it will restore some legitimacy to the Court. Most people agree there are turbulent times ahead. The sooner we consider the Court legitimate, the better.